Outcome XE

Will Friedrich Merz be the Chancellor of Germany on December 31, 2026?

$370.52 Vol Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
politics
70¢per share

Price Chart

70¢-5.4%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1164.9¢68.9¢72.9¢77¢
Volume · Spike DetectorSpike at Oct 11
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k1k2k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
N
3shares @23¢
$0.69 total
2 months ago
N
12shares @30¢
$3.60 total
2 months ago
Y
8shares @78¢
$6.24 total
2 months ago
N
3shares @21¢
$0.63 total
2 months ago
N
4shares @29¢
$1.16 total
2 months ago
Y
11shares @78¢
$8.58 total
2 months ago
Y
11shares @70¢
$7.70 total
2 months ago
N
7shares @29¢
$2.03 total
2 months ago
N
14shares @30¢
$4.20 total
2 months ago
Y
3shares @78¢
$2.34 total
2 months ago
N
11shares @21¢
$2.31 total
2 months ago
N
3shares @23¢
$0.69 total
2 months ago
N
5shares @31¢
$1.55 total
3 months ago
N
10shares @21¢
$2.10 total
3 months ago
Y
6shares @78¢
$4.68 total
3 months ago

Last Price

23¢

Best Bid

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Best Ask

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Spread

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Bid Depth

0 sh

Ask Depth

0 sh

Total Volume

$371

Order Book

LIVE
PriceSharesVolumeOrders
NOAsks — selling YES / backing NO
69¢—71¢
Spread: 2¢
YESBids — buying YES

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Rules & Resolution

Friedrich Merz has successfully unified the CDU/CSU and leads national polls by a wide margin following the projected 2025-2026 government transition. Prediction markets on Polymarket place high odds on him leading the next coalition government through 2026.

Resolution Source

polymarket

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