Outcome XE

Will Israel and Lebanon (Hezbollah) enter a sustained full-scale ground war lasting more than 30 days before December 31, 2026?

$217.61 Vol Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
geopolitics
45¢per share

Price Chart

45¢-11.6%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1141.6¢45.6¢49.6¢57¢
Volume · Spike DetectorNormal activity
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k0k1k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
N
6shares @55¢
$3.30 total
2 months ago
N
14shares @55¢
$7.70 total
2 months ago
Y
12shares @46¢
$5.52 total
2 months ago
Y
8shares @46¢
$3.68 total
2 months ago
N
5shares @55¢
$2.75 total
2 months ago
N
13shares @54¢
$7.02 total
2 months ago
Y
5shares @46¢
$2.30 total
2 months ago
N
10shares @55¢
$5.50 total
2 months ago
Y
10shares @46¢
$4.60 total
2 months ago
Y
6shares @45¢
$2.70 total
3 months ago
N
5shares @55¢
$2.75 total
3 months ago
N
11shares @54¢
$5.94 total
3 months ago
N
7shares @55¢
$3.85 total
3 months ago
Y
3shares @44¢
$1.32 total
3 months ago
N
13shares @55¢
$7.15 total
3 months ago

Last Price

55¢

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Rules & Resolution

Frequent cross-border strikes have brought both parties to the brink of war several times since 2023. While the IDF has prepared contingency plans for a northern ground offensive, the risk of a wider regional conflict involving Iran may continue to serve as a deterrent for a prolonged ground invasion.

Resolution Source

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