Outcome XE

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

$284.98 Vol Oct 26, 2026, 11:59 PM
elections
52¢per share

Price Chart

52¢+1.4%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1148.3¢51.3¢54.3¢59.2¢
Volume · Spike DetectorSpike at Oct 10
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k1k2k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
Y
5shares @65¢
$3.25 total
2 months ago
Y
12shares @64¢
$7.68 total
2 months ago
Y
7shares @66¢
$4.62 total
2 months ago
N
10shares @35¢
$3.50 total
2 months ago
N
7shares @35¢
$2.45 total
2 months ago
Y
11shares @66¢
$7.26 total
2 months ago
Y
17shares @66¢
$11.22 total
2 months ago
Y
20shares @66¢
$13.20 total
2 months ago
N
21shares @34¢
$7.14 total
2 months ago
N
14shares @35¢
$4.90 total
2 months ago
N
9shares @36¢
$3.24 total
2 months ago
Y
20shares @66¢
$13.20 total
2 months ago
N
16shares @34¢
$5.44 total
2 months ago
N
23shares @35¢
$8.05 total
2 months ago
Y
19shares @66¢
$12.54 total
2 months ago

Last Price

65¢

Best Bid

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Best Ask

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Spread

—

Bid Depth

0 sh

Ask Depth

0 sh

Total Volume

$285

Order Book

LIVE
PriceSharesVolumeOrders
NOAsks — selling YES / backing NO
51¢—53¢
Spread: 2¢
YESBids — buying YES

Click a price level to trade at that price

Rules & Resolution

Incumbent President Lula da Silva is seeking a fourth nonconsecutive term in the October 4, 2026, general elections. Markets are weighing his popularity against a fragmented right-wing opposition.

Resolution Source

https://tse.jus.br

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