Outcome XE

Will the Republican Party win a majority of seats in the United States Senate in the 2026 Midterm Elections?

$243.77 Vol Nov 4, 2026, 11:59 PM
geopolitics
58¢per share

Price Chart

58¢-2.2%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1154.8¢57.8¢60.8¢65.2¢
Volume · Spike DetectorSpike at Oct 11
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k1k2k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
Y
13shares @57¢
$7.41 total
2 months ago
Y
9shares @59¢
$5.31 total
2 months ago
Y
12shares @58¢
$6.96 total
2 months ago
N
10shares @43¢
$4.30 total
2 months ago
Y
10shares @57¢
$5.70 total
2 months ago
N
13shares @42¢
$5.46 total
2 months ago
Y
5shares @57¢
$2.85 total
3 months ago
Y
7shares @58¢
$4.06 total
3 months ago
N
10shares @41¢
$4.10 total
3 months ago
N
7shares @42¢
$2.94 total
3 months ago
Y
9shares @58¢
$5.22 total
3 months ago
Y
11shares @57¢
$6.27 total
3 months ago
Y
14shares @58¢
$8.12 total
3 months ago
N
5shares @42¢
$2.10 total
3 months ago
N
11shares @42¢
$4.62 total
3 months ago

Last Price

57¢

Best Bid

—

Best Ask

—

Spread

—

Bid Depth

0 sh

Ask Depth

0 sh

Total Volume

$244

Order Book

LIVE
PriceSharesVolumeOrders
NOAsks — selling YES / backing NO
57¢—59¢
Spread: 2¢
YESBids — buying YES

Click a price level to trade at that price

Rules & Resolution

The 2026 electoral map for the U.S. Senate features several Democratic-held seats in swing states. Current market sentiment on Polymarket and analysis of recent polling suggest a highly competitive environment where a Republican flip of the chamber is a statistically likely outcome.

Resolution Source

polymarket

Community Chat

0 messages

No messages yet. Start the conversation!

Login to chat

Comments (0)

Beware of external links

No comments yet. Be the first!