Outcome XE

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Senate election?

$210.2 Vol Nov 4, 2026, 11:59 PM
elections
62¢per share

Price Chart

62¢+5.4%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1154.9¢57.9¢60.9¢65.7¢
Volume · Spike DetectorNormal activity
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k0k1k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
N
11shares @38¢
$4.18 total
a month ago
Y
14shares @63¢
$8.82 total
a month ago
N
10shares @39¢
$3.90 total
2 months ago
N
10shares @38¢
$3.80 total
2 months ago
Y
9shares @61¢
$5.49 total
2 months ago
N
7shares @38¢
$2.66 total
2 months ago
Y
12shares @62¢
$7.44 total
2 months ago
Y
8shares @63¢
$5.04 total
2 months ago
N
11shares @38¢
$4.18 total
2 months ago
N
4shares @39¢
$1.56 total
2 months ago
Y
6shares @62¢
$3.72 total
2 months ago
N
14shares @38¢
$5.32 total
2 months ago
Y
12shares @63¢
$7.56 total
2 months ago
Y
8shares @61¢
$4.88 total
2 months ago
Y
8shares @63¢
$5.04 total
2 months ago

Last Price

38¢

Best Bid

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Best Ask

—

Spread

—

Bid Depth

0 sh

Ask Depth

0 sh

Total Volume

$210

Order Book

LIVE
PriceSharesVolumeOrders
NOAsks — selling YES / backing NO
61¢—63¢
Spread: 2¢
YESBids — buying YES

Click a price level to trade at that price

Rules & Resolution

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton successfully defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican runoff, setting up a high-profile general election against Democrat James Talarico. Kalshi markets are actively trading on this race as a pivotal contest for Senate control.

Resolution Source

kalshi

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