Outcome XE

Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close above 4.2% on November 30, 2026?

$219.62 Vol Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM
finance
40¢per share

Price Chart

40¢+23.1%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1128.1¢33.1¢38.1¢44.7¢
Volume · Spike DetectorSpike at Oct 11
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k1k2k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
Y
3shares @41¢
$1.23 total
7 days ago
Y
13shares @40¢
$5.20 total
18 days ago
Y
12shares @41¢
$4.92 total
18 days ago
Y
6shares @40¢
$2.40 total
19 days ago
N
14shares @59¢
$8.26 total
19 days ago
Y
9shares @39¢
$3.51 total
19 days ago
Y
3shares @39¢
$1.17 total
21 days ago
Y
3shares @41¢
$1.23 total
22 days ago
Y
10shares @41¢
$4.10 total
22 days ago
N
8shares @60¢
$4.80 total
22 days ago
N
3shares @60¢
$1.80 total
23 days ago
Y
14shares @39¢
$5.46 total
24 days ago
N
3shares @61¢
$1.83 total
a month ago
N
8shares @59¢
$4.72 total
a month ago
Y
13shares @41¢
$5.33 total
a month ago

Last Price

41¢

Best Bid

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Best Ask

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Spread

—

Bid Depth

0 sh

Ask Depth

0 sh

Total Volume

$220

Order Book

LIVE
PriceSharesVolumeOrders
NOAsks — selling YES / backing NO
39¢—41¢
Spread: 2¢
YESBids — buying YES

Click a price level to trade at that price

Rules & Resolution

Treasury yields are influenced by Fed policy expectations and economic growth projections. As the market anticipates potential rate adjustments, this contract tracks the benchmark 10-year yield at the end of November.

Resolution Source

Bloomberg

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