Outcome XE

Will the 10-Year U.S. Treasury yield close above 4.8% on September 30, 2026?

$226.76 Vol Sep 30, 2026, 11:59 PM
finance
40¢per share

Price Chart

40¢+33.3%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1127¢32¢37¢44.6¢
Volume · Spike DetectorSpike at Oct 11
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k1k2k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
N
10shares @61¢
$6.10 total
18 days ago
N
12shares @59¢
$7.08 total
18 days ago
N
13shares @61¢
$7.93 total
19 days ago
N
8shares @61¢
$4.88 total
20 days ago
N
10shares @59¢
$5.90 total
21 days ago
N
7shares @60¢
$4.20 total
24 days ago
N
12shares @60¢
$7.20 total
24 days ago
N
12shares @61¢
$7.32 total
25 days ago
N
9shares @60¢
$5.40 total
25 days ago
N
9shares @60¢
$5.40 total
a month ago
Y
8shares @40¢
$3.20 total
a month ago
Y
6shares @41¢
$2.46 total
a month ago
Y
12shares @40¢
$4.80 total
a month ago
Y
11shares @40¢
$4.40 total
a month ago
Y
13shares @40¢
$5.20 total
a month ago

Last Price

61¢

Best Bid

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Best Ask

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Spread

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Bid Depth

0 sh

Ask Depth

0 sh

Total Volume

$227

Order Book

LIVE
PriceSharesVolumeOrders
NOAsks — selling YES / backing NO
39¢—41¢
Spread: 2¢
YESBids — buying YES

Click a price level to trade at that price

Rules & Resolution

The 10-year yield closed near 4.69% in late August 2026. With the Fed signaling a potential hike and inflation remaining above the 2% target, market forecasts suggest yields could peak above 5.0% if economic data remains hot.

Resolution Source

Yahoo Finance

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