Outcome XE

Will the combined private valuation of OpenAI and Anthropic surpass Microsoft's market capitalization by December 31, 2026?

$243.91 Vol Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
world
20¢per share

Price Chart

20¢+52.7%past 1D
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 1110.1¢14.1¢18.1¢24.3¢
Volume · Spike DetectorSpike at Oct 11
Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 11Oct 110k1k2k

Amber bars = volume spike (>1.8× avg) ·avg line

Live Trades

REAL-TIME
Y
7shares @20¢
$1.40 total
19 days ago
Y
10shares @21¢
$2.10 total
19 days ago
Y
8shares @19¢
$1.52 total
19 days ago
N
7shares @80¢
$5.60 total
20 days ago
N
11shares @81¢
$8.91 total
21 days ago
N
4shares @80¢
$3.20 total
21 days ago
N
14shares @81¢
$11.34 total
24 days ago
Y
8shares @20¢
$1.60 total
24 days ago
Y
10shares @20¢
$2.00 total
25 days ago
Y
6shares @20¢
$1.20 total
25 days ago
Y
11shares @21¢
$2.31 total
a month ago
N
9shares @80¢
$7.20 total
a month ago
N
7shares @80¢
$5.60 total
a month ago
N
7shares @80¢
$5.60 total
a month ago
N
9shares @80¢
$7.20 total
a month ago

Last Price

20¢

Best Bid

—

Best Ask

—

Spread

—

Bid Depth

0 sh

Ask Depth

0 sh

Total Volume

$244

Order Book

LIVE
PriceSharesVolumeOrders
NOAsks — selling YES / backing NO
19¢—21¢
Spread: 2¢
YESBids — buying YES

Click a price level to trade at that price

Rules & Resolution

Prediction markets are tracking the relative valuations of AI leaders OpenAI and Anthropic against tech giants like Microsoft. As of August 2026, Microsoft maintains a significant lead, but rapid private funding rounds for AI firms continue to narrow the gap.

Resolution Source

polymarket

Community Chat

0 messages

No messages yet. Start the conversation!

Login to chat

Comments (0)

Beware of external links

No comments yet. Be the first!

Related Markets

View All

Will the price of Brent Crude oil exceed $95 per barrel at any point in Q4 2026?

$287.53 Vol
energy
40%

Will the United Nations General Assembly adopt a new resolution on AI governance before December 31, 2026?

$251.67 Vol
UN
45%

Will a kinetic military conflict occur between China and Taiwan before January 1, 2027?

$250.39 Vol
china
12%

Will the United Kingdom hold a general election before December 31, 2026?

$250.08 Vol
UK
25%

Will the total US trade deficit for the 2026 calendar year exceed $900 billion?

$232.75 Vol
Trade
50%

Will the incumbent president of Brazil win re-election in the October 2026 general election?

$229.63 Vol
brazil
52%